Friday, 28 March 2008

Hillary 'kamikaze' Clinton?

There has been a great deal of discussion over the last few days about whether Hillary Clinton now has election 2012 in her sights. She has reconciled herself to probable defeat and is now looking to damage Obama so badly that he is unable to win against McCain in November, giving her another shot next time. An article by Eugene Robinson of the Washington Post analyses this and also considers some recent polling data that shows Hillary's poll ratings suffering along with Obama's. In a post last week I discussed this apparent effect and the fact that Obama and Clinton's destiny is apparently tied.

If there is any hint of a 'kamikaze' strategy then the Democratic party elders are going to have to step in to narrow Clinton's room for manoeuvre. It has to be done in a way that if she behaves irresponsibly it will cause herself collateral damage. The time to do this will probably be after the North Carolina and Indiana primaries on May 6th.

The good news for Obama is that the damage that he is sustaining from the Jeremiah Wright row is steadying. He has reasserted his poll lead overall. He is stretching ahead in North Carolina once more and it looks like he is starting to gain in Pennsylvania also (though he won't catch Clinton.) It remains to be seen how toxic Hillary Clinton's embarrassing exaggerations will be for her campaign. We will see in the polls over the next few days.

Post script: Joe Klein described this part of the primary race as silly season. With April Fools' Day approaching fast I had to check the date on his 'draft Al Gore' article. No, it's not April 1st (do they have that in the US?) Get 'Jimmy' Carter is what I say.

No comments:

Post a Comment