My first 'E8voice' blog post is from Arlington, Virginia. I am here to see the primary campaign first hand. Three initial observations.
1) Obama is now the 'front-runner.' It is clear in the way he's being talked about. This could benefit Hillary. She described Obama as the 'establishment' candidate and it is clearly the strategy that's evolving in the Hillary camp. The reality is that is couldn't be closer but Obama will become the assumed candidate after the next few days and that will make things a little more tricky for him.
2) The cash shortage is hitting the Clinton campaign. Obama and McCain have TV ads in plentiful supply here in Virginia. Clinton ads are nowhere to be seen. This will aid her transition, incredible as it seems, to outsider candidate status. Again, she may benefit from this in Texas and then in Pennsylvania. She may be saving any spare cash for those primaries.
3) The Democrats could be heading for disaster at Denver. If Hillary's outsider strategy fails, Obama will head to Denver with more States, more delegates, and more votes. The super-delegates will then be in a position where they would have to back Obama. If they didn't, then the Republicans would have Hillary for toast given that the Democrats have not stopped going on about the 2000 election where Bush won with fewer votes than Gore. If they fall in behind Obama, then will Hillary go to court to get the Michigan and Florida delegates which she won re-instated?